Leaner, Faster, Humbler: Value Betting Engine Drops a Few More Bytes
Bertrand Russell said, “Mathematics, rightly viewed, possesses not only truth, but supreme beauty — a beauty cold and austere, like that of a sculpture, without appeal to any…
FCM Blog
+100-Year Shemitah Cycle and Gold
Hebrew Year Shemitah Year Inflation-Adjusted Range Percentage Gain/Loss 5677 9/28/1916 – 9/16/1917 488-405 -17% 5684 9/11/23 – 9/28/1924 335-338 1% 5691 9/23/1930 – 9/11/1931 349-421 21% 5698 9/6/1937…
Boosting Cash
Cash reserves have been boosted to 28% with a target > 40%, God willing. A major opportunity in silver is emerging and we want the wherewithal to strike…
6 December Buying Opportunities and Some Market Commentary
SYMBOL EDGE (%) SMALL TRADER NET (%) FUND NET (%) COMMERCIAL NET (%) STANDARDIZED ODDS BTG 2 36 -39 -60 1.02 CDE 4 45 -29 -21 1.06 DYLLF…
$UROY — Uranium Royalty Corp. Edge Emerges
EDGE 16% +DV $5.74 +DV DISCOUNT 32% Updated, 4 December 2021 NOTE: We purchased at $4.22 on 1 December and liquidated on the 3 Dec. open at $4.22,…
$DYLLF : Vimy’s Cheryl Edwardes doesn’t kiss on the first date…
Which tells us a little about her and a lot about suitor John. What did we learn about Cheryl? She is not a stranger to hard ball, is…
Value Betting and the Chebyshev Inequality
The Chebyshev Inequality states that ~89% of values fall within 3 standard deviations of the mean. Is this true for the Value Betting Engine, when mean and variance…
8th Kelly Criterion Formula Breakdown
Example: Coeur Mining Step 1: Define Stake: $1.00 Step 4: Define Decimal Odds of Winning: 1 + Odds of Winning Step 4: Define Decimal Odds of Losing: 1…
One Year Ago…
…Gamma Testing of the Value Betting Engine (VBE) commenced. Today, the VBE has been released into our production environment. The VBE generates the following output: EDGE* POSITIVE DYNAMIC…
$HUI — Deck Stacked in Bulls’ Favor
The implied probability of the AMEX Gold Bugs Index rising to a Positive Dynamic Value of ~291 over the short-term is 66%.
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