Fahy Capital Management is a quantitative investment firm dedicated to producing exceptional absolute returns by adhering to value betting principles.
As Advantage Players, we place bets on issues with statistical edges; where the market has overpriced the odds of continued loss.
We bet when consensus estimation errors indicate betting odds are considerably worse than they actually are.
| NAME | LEVEL | MONEYLINE | DECIMAL ODDS | IMPLIED PROBABILITY | EDGE* | DISCOUNT | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABMBF | R3 | -171 | 1.58 | 63% | 26% | 7% | OPEN |
| R4 | 171 | 2.71 | 37% | 0% | 27% | OPEN | |
| R5 | 375 | 4.75 | 21% | -16% | 59% | OPEN | |
| ACKRF | R3 | -280 | 1.36 | 74% | 53% | 182% | OPEN |
| R4 | -111 | 1.9 | 53% | 32% | 240% | OPEN | |
| AG | R3 | -325 | 1.31 | 76% | 58% | -21% | CLOSED |
| R4 | 143 | 2.43 | 41% | 23% | -8% | CLOSED | |
| R5 | 183 | 2.83 | 35% | 17% | 15% | OPEN | |
| AOIFF | R3 | -200 | 1.50 | 67% | 45% | 17% | OPEN |
| R4 | 157 | 2.57 | 39% | 17% | 31% | OPEN | |
| ATCMF | R3 | -200 | 1.50 | 67% | 42% | 4% | OPEN |
| R4 | 140 | 2.40 | 42% | 17% | 39% | OPEN | |
| B | R3 | 100 | 2.00 | 50% | 30% | -19% | CLOSED |
| R4 | 100 | 2.00 | 50% | 28% | -10% | CLOSED | |
| R5 | 300 | 4.00 | 25% | 3% | 5% | OPEN | |
| DMEHF | R3 | 100 | 2.00 | 50% | 17% | 75% | OPEN |
| R4 | 100 | 2.00 | 50% | 17% | 105% | OPEN | |
| ELRRF | R3 | -138 | 1.73 | 58% | 21% | -3% | CLOSED |
| R4 | 138 | 2.38 | 42% | 5% | 30% | OPEN | |
| EXK | R3 | -800 | 1.13 | 89% | 83% | -4% | CLOSED |
| R4 | 100 | 2.00 | 50% | 44% | 20% | OPEN | |
| R5 | 260 | 3.60 | 28% | 22% | 57% | OPEN | |
| GPRK | R3 | -183 | 1.55 | 65% | 30% | 35% | OPEN |
| R4 | 113 | 2.13 | 47% | 12% | 50% | OPEN | |
| GTE | R3 | -242 | 1.41 | 71% | 42% | 44% | OPEN |
| R4 | 118 | 2.18 | 46% | 17% | 70% | OPEN | |
| HL | R3 | -344 | 1.29 | 78% | 56% | -1% | CLOSED |
| R4 | 150 | 2.50 | 40% | 18% | 18% | OPEN | |
| ISVLF | R3 | -280 | 1.36 | 74% | 58% | -8% | CLOSED |
| R4 | 217 | 3.17 | 32% | 16% | 16% | OPEN | |
| NFGC | R3 | -150 | 1.67 | 60% | 20% | 64% | OPEN |
| R4 | 400 | 5.00 | 20% | -20% | 111% | OPEN | |
| NKOSF | R3 | -157 | 1.64 | 61% | 33% | 13% | OPEN |
| R4 | -125 | 1.80 | 56% | 28% | 69% | OPEN | |
| PBEGF | R3 | -171 | 1.58 | 63% | 37% | 54% | OPEN |
| R4 | 171 | 2.71 | 37% | 11% | 94% | OPEN | |
| PIFYF | R3 | 150 | 2.50 | 40% | -20% | 69% | OPEN |
| PTALF | R3 | -200 | 1.50 | 67% | 34% | -10% | CLOSED |
| R4 | 200 | 3.00 | 33% | 0% | 4% | OPEN | |
| R5 | 500 | 6.00 | 17% | -16% | 27% | OPEN | |
| PZG | R3 | -350 | 1.29 | 78% | 61% | -30% | CLOSED |
| R4 | 157 | 2.57 | 39% | 22% | -14% | CLOSED | |
| R5 | 350 | 4.50 | 22% | 5% | 13% | OPEN | |
| SA | R3 | -600 | 1.17 | 86% | 72% | -5% | CLOSED |
| R4 | -133 | 1.75 | 57% | 43% | 15% | OPEN | |
| SICNF | R3 | -133 | 1.75 | 57% | 28% | 18% | OPEN |
| R4 | -133 | 1.75 | 57% | 28% | 58% | OPEN | |
| SILJ | R3 | -333 | 1.3 | 77% | 54% | -22% | CLOSED |
| R4 | 117 | 2.17 | 46% | 23% | -9% | CLOSED | |
| R5 | 333 | 4.33 | 23% | 0% | 12% | OPEN | |
| TAOIF | R3 | -129 | 1.78 | 56% | 19% | 71% | OPEN |
| TDRRF | R3 | -350 | 1.29 | 78% | 67% | 53% | OPEN |
| R4 | 350 | 4.50 | 22% | 11% | 93% | OPEN | |
| TEUTF | R3 | -280 | 1.36 | 74% | 53% | 27% | OPEN |
| R4 | 138 | 2.38 | 42% | 21% | 53% | OPEN | |
| TOGOF | R3 | -1200 | 1.08 | 92% | 84% | -6% | CLOSED |
| R4 | 160 | 2.60 | 38% | 30% | 40% | OPEN | |
| R5 | 333 | 4.33 | 23% | 15% | 114% | OPEN | |
| TRUIF | R3 | -150 | 1.67 | 60% | 40% | -21% | CLOSED |
| R4 | 150 | 2.50 | 40% | 20% | 14% | OPEN | |
| USAS | R3 | -200 | 1.5 | 67% | 45% | -44% | CLOSED |
| WEAT | R3 | -133 | 1.75 | 57% | 14% | 15% | OPEN |
| R4 | 180 | 2.80 | 36% | -7% | 26% | OPEN | |
| YGRAF | R3 | -138 | 1.73 | 58% | 21% | 15% | OPEN |
| R4 | 138 | 2.38 | 42% | 5% | 29% | OPEN |
Fahy Capital Management is closed to new capital and does not actively solicit or market to prospective investors.
This site and the content made available through this site are for educational and informational purposes only. Hence, nothing contained in this website should be construed as investment advice.