4-1 Morning Line
NAME ABE DEV ODDS MONEYLINE IMPLIED PROBABILITY CMP 1.38% 26% 1.35 -288 74% HNRG 2% 30% 1.25 -399 79% KEP 1.47% 9% 1.46 -216 68% LINK* 7.43% 41%…
Category: Business
Crist’s Rules
1.) Recognize the difference between picking horses and making wagers in which you have an edge. The only path to consistent profit is to exploit the discrepancy between…
Covered Silver Short + Wednesday Morning Line
We covered our short in silver yesterday at expected value. Below you will find a sample of instances where the market has overpriced the odds of continued loss.…
Benter’s Rules and How We Apply Them
To be truly viable, a system must provide a large number of high advantage betting opportunities in order that a sufficient amount of expected profit can be generated.…
25 March Morning Line
NAME ABE DEV ODDS MONEYLINE IMPLIED PROBABILITY AEHR 11% 38% 1.33 -307 75% BCE — 5% 1.45 -220 69% BF/B — 8% 1.32 -312 94% CMP 18% 47%…
Last Bets of the Week
Brown-Forman, Under-Armour and Destination XL Group are our final bets of the week. Brown-Forman, with an advantage betting edge of 1.4% and a discount to expected value (DEV)…
$1 Boxes for Action; or, How to Kill Time Between Races
As soon as those first prices go up on the board, you are looking for discrepancies between your odds and those set by your opponents. Steven Crist, “Crist…
Crist on Value: Asking the wrong question.
This is the way we all have been conditioned to think: Find the winner, then bet. Know your horses and the money will take care of itself. Stare…
Time to Trade Swatch Group and Other Emerging Opportunities
With an an advantage betting edge of 3% following a drop in excess of 3σ from expected value, Swatch Group is a buy. Its current discount to expected…
$BW $CMP — Advantage Plays
We traded out of Wheat ($WEAT) this morning and into Babcock & Wilcox ($BW) and Compass Minerals ($CMP). Babcock sports a 14% edge and a discount to expected…
Nothing left to load.